Friday, May 14, 2004

Olduvai Times

It has often been said that, if the human species fails to make a go of it here on Earth, some other species will take over the running. In the sense of developing high intelligence this is not correct. We have, or soon will have, exhausted the necessary physical prerequisites so far as this planet is concerned. With coal gone, oil gone, high-grade metallic ores gone, no species however competent can make the long climb from primitive conditions to high-level technology. This is a one-shot affair. If we fail, this planetary system fails so far as intelligence is concerned. The same will be true of other planetary systems. On each of them there will be one chance, and one chance only.
Sir Fred Hoyle, 1964

Are we there? Have we reached Peak Oil, or the time where our energy consumption begins to outstrip supply, where annual discovery of new oil reserves is less than the annual demand increase?

Talk amongst yourselves.

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